California
Population 2015-2030
San Diego County Projections
All the numbers are projections made by the State
Department of Finance. I have no idea
how accurate they will be. The source is
Table P-2 from
http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/projections/
See the two tables at the end of this discussion for
details.
By age
1. The
population from ages 0-19 will increase slightly. The working-age population (ages 20-64) will
be essentially unchanged. The population
ages 65+ will increase by about 65%, with the ages 65+ fraction of the
population increasing from about 13% to 20%.
That is, 80% of the increase in population will be due to the increase
in the number of seniors.
2. By age and
race
All ages:
The overall population will increase by about 11%. The population of Whites will be essentially
unchanged. The population of Asians will
increase. Most of the population increase will be due to the increase in the
Hispanic population (about 250,000 or a 23% increase in the Hispanic
population).
Ages 0-19 – children:
The total population in this age range will increase
slightly.
Ages 20-64 – working ages:
The total population in this age group will be
essentially unchanged, perhaps resulting in labor shortages as the economy
expands. The number of Whites will
decline significantly (-16%). The number
of Hispanics will increase significantly (by about 136,000, or about 21%). Obvious substantial challenges and
opportunities are to develop jobs for these workers and to better incorporate
Hispanics into the developing high-tech, high-skills, high-education economy
Ages 65+ – seniors:
There will be an enormous (65%!!) increase in the
population of seniors.
Projected San Diego County
Population Change 2015 to 2030 - by Age
|
|||||||
Source: California Department of Finance
|
|||||||
http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/projections/
|
|||||||
Extracted from file P-2
|
|||||||
Age Range
|
|||||||
2015
|
2030
|
Change
|
%Change
|
||||
Total
|
3,244,706
|
3,589,951
|
345,245
|
11
|
|||
0-4
|
217,306
|
202,620
|
-14,686
|
-7
|
|||
5-9
|
206,235
|
213,266
|
7,031
|
3
|
|||
10-14
|
196,260
|
224,815
|
28,555
|
15
|
|||
15-19
|
202,950
|
235,307
|
32,357
|
16
|
|||
20-24
|
248,756
|
241,951
|
-6,805
|
-3
|
|||
25-29
|
251,934
|
205,081
|
-46,853
|
-19
|
|||
30-34
|
249,870
|
196,581
|
-53,289
|
-21
|
|||
35-39
|
224,496
|
220,304
|
-4,192
|
-2
|
|||
40-44
|
211,132
|
248,996
|
37,864
|
18
|
|||
45-49
|
210,338
|
256,762
|
46,424
|
22
|
|||
50-54
|
216,654
|
229,957
|
13,303
|
6
|
|||
55-59
|
207,400
|
211,007
|
3,607
|
2
|
|||
60-64
|
176,265
|
202,813
|
26,548
|
15
|
|||
65-69
|
143,867
|
198,786
|
54,919
|
38
|
|||
70-74
|
96,800
|
179,210
|
82,410
|
85
|
|||
75-79
|
69,078
|
139,746
|
70,668
|
102
|
|||
80-84
|
52,843
|
98,827
|
45,984
|
87
|
|||
85-89
|
37,338
|
51,695
|
14,357
|
38
|
|||
90-94
|
19,504
|
23,024
|
3,520
|
18
|
|||
95-99
|
5,062
|
7,708
|
2,646
|
52
|
|||
100+
|
618
|
1,495
|
877
|
142
|
|||
Median
|
36.0
|
41.1
|
5.1
|
||||
% of 2015
|
% of 2030
|
% of Total
|
|||||
Number
|
Population
|
Number
|
Population
|
Change
|
|||
0-19
|
822,751
|
25
|
876,008
|
24
|
53,257
|
6
|
15
|
20-64
|
1,996,845
|
62
|
2,013,452
|
56
|
16,607
|
1
|
5
|
65+
|
425,110
|
13
|
700,491
|
20
|
275,381
|
65
|
80
|
Total
|
3,244,706
|
3,589,951
|
345,245
|
||||
Projected San Diego County
Population Change 2015 to 2030 - by Age and Race
|
|||||||
Source: California Department of Finance
|
|||||||
http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/projections/
|
|||||||
Extracted from file P-2
|
|||||||
2015
|
2030
|
Change
|
%Change
|
% of Total
|
|||
% of 2015
|
% of 2030
|
Change
|
|||||
Population
|
Population
|
||||||
Total
|
3,244,706
|
3,589,951
|
345,245
|
11
|
|||
White
|
1,530,660
|
47
|
1,526,220
|
43
|
-4,440
|
0
|
-1
|
Black
|
155,132
|
5
|
158,625
|
4
|
3,493
|
2
|
1
|
Asian
|
349,225
|
11
|
409,208
|
11
|
59,983
|
17
|
17
|
Hispanic
|
1,077,528
|
33
|
1,329,067
|
37
|
251,539
|
23
|
73
|
Two Or More
|
102,713
|
3
|
134,353
|
4
|
31,640
|
31
|
9
|
Amer Indian
|
14,936
|
0
|
15,670
|
0
|
734
|
5
|
0
|
Hawaii/Pacific
|
14,512
|
0
|
16,808
|
0
|
2,296
|
16
|
1
|
Ages 0-19
|
|||||||
Total
|
822,751
|
876,008
|
53,257
|
6
|
|||
White
|
292,630
|
318,271
|
25,641
|
9
|
|||
Black
|
37,442
|
33,494
|
-3,948
|
-11
|
|||
Asian
|
72,828
|
76,222
|
3,394
|
5
|
|||
Hispanic
|
366,877
|
393,115
|
26,238
|
7
|
|||
Two Or More
|
46,119
|
47,595
|
1,476
|
3
|
|||
Amer Indian
|
3,496
|
3,152
|
-344
|
-10
|
|||
Hawaii/Pacific
|
3,359
|
4,159
|
800
|
24
|
|||
Ages 20-64
|
|||||||
Total
|
1,996,845
|
2,013,452
|
16,607
|
1
|
|||
White
|
953,034
|
799,197
|
-153,837
|
-16
|
|||
Black
|
103,100
|
97,480
|
-5,620
|
-5
|
|||
Asian
|
229,706
|
245,919
|
16,213
|
7
|
|||
Hispanic
|
639,294
|
775,409
|
136,115
|
21
|
|||
Two Or More
|
52,220
|
75,980
|
23,760
|
45
|
|||
Amer Indian
|
9,740
|
9,406
|
-334
|
-3
|
|||
Hawaii/Pacific
|
9,751
|
10,061
|
310
|
3
|
|||
Ages 65+
|
|||||||
Total
|
425,110
|
700,491
|
275,381
|
65
|
|||
White
|
284,996
|
408,752
|
123,756
|
43
|
|||
Black
|
14,590
|
27,651
|
13,061
|
90
|
|||
Asian
|
46,691
|
87,067
|
40,376
|
86
|
|||
Hispanic
|
71,357
|
160,543
|
89,186
|
125
|
|||
Two Or More
|
4,374
|
10,778
|
6,404
|
146
|
|||
Amer Indian
|
1,700
|
3,112
|
1,412
|
83
|
|||
Hawaii/Pacific
|
1,402
|
2,588
|
1,186
|
85
|
|||
